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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jared Gordon vs King Green

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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King Green
us

King Green

“King”

36-18-1LightweightUFC

1709Good

Tale of the tape

21-9-0Record36-18-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach71″
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPinnacle MMA

What's at stake

King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jared GordonNow 1675
If they win+13→ 1688
If they lose-11→ 1664
King GreenNow 1709
If they win+11→ 1720
If they lose-13→ 1696

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1702 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1699 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.64
Sig. strikes / min
6.49
54%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
56%
Strike defense
62%
1.78
Takedown avg.
1.32
33%
Takedown accuracy
9%
60%
Takedown defense
72%
0
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jared GordonKing Green
1700202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (38%)
KO/TKO
13 (36%)
2 (10%)
Submission
10 (28%)
11 (52%)
Decision
13 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

King Green65%
Jared Gordon 35%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 65% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1709 to 1675, a 34-point edge.

Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.

Jared Gordon and King Green share 3 common opponents: Jim Miller, Paddy Pimblett and Grant Dawson.

King Green carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Paddy Pimblett
LossSubmission · 2024
LossSubmission · 2026
Jim Miller
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2024
LossSubmission · 2022
Grant Dawson
WinKO/TKO · 2023