Jared Gordon vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach71″
156 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1668
If they win+10→ 1733
If they lose-14→ 1709
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1705 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green60%
Jared Gordon 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 60% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1678, a 45-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Jared Gordon and King Green share 3 common opponents: Jim Miller, Paddy Pimblett and Grant Dawson.
King Green carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.