Jared Gordon vs Nasrat Haqparast
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record18-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
68"Reach72"
156 lbsWeight156 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Nasrat Haqparast is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jared Gordon carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1692
If they lose-10→ 1668
If they win+10→ 1738
If they lose-14→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared GordonNasrat Haqparast
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nasrat Haqparast64%
Jared Gordon 36%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Nasrat Haqparast a 64% favorite over Jared Gordon in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Nasrat Haqparast holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1678, a 50-point edge.
Jared Gordon enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Gordon finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Nasrat Haqparast 56%.
Jared Gordon and Nasrat Haqparast share 1 common opponent: Rafa García.
Nasrat Haqparast carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.