Jared Papazian vs Tim Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
20-14-0Record22-14-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Tim Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jared Papazian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1565
If they lose-8→ 1541
If they win+8→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1641
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared PapazianTim Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tim Elliott63%
Jared Papazian 37%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Tim Elliott a 63% favorite over Jared Papazian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Tim Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1549, a 108-point edge.
Jared Papazian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jared Papazian finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Tim Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.