Jared Vanderaa vs Josh Parisian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-13-0Record15-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
80"Reach79"
259 lbsWeight266 lbs
Team QuestTeamScorpion Fighting System· 1548 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1587
If they lose-12→ 1563
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1565 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaJosh Parisian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Parisian56%
Jared Vanderaa 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Parisian a 56% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1576), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josh Parisian 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.