Jared Vanderaa vs Louie Sutherland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record11-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
80"Reach76"
259 lbsWeight266 lbs
Team QuestTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573
If they win+16→ 1600
If they lose-16→ 1568
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jared VanderaaLouie Sutherland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Louie Sutherland60%
Jared Vanderaa 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Louie Sutherland a 60% favorite over Jared Vanderaa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jared Vanderaa's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1584), separated by just 1 points.
Jared Vanderaa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jared Vanderaa finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Louie Sutherland 73%.
Jared Vanderaa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.