Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarjis Danho vs Yorgan De Castro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jarjis Danho

Jarjis Danho

“Man Mountain”

6-1-1HeavyweightUFC

1632Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-1Record12-7-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
TBDReach74"
256 lbsWeight265 lbs
Hammers TeamTeamRegiment Training Center

What's at stake

Jarjis Danho is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Yorgan De Castro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jarjis DanhoNow 1632
If they win+21→ 1653
If they lose-27→ 1605
Yorgan De CastroNow 1583
If they win+18→ 1601
If they lose-14→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.38
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
51%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
49%
Strike defense
54%
0.51
Takedown avg.
0
17%
Takedown accuracy
0%
100%
Takedown defense
78%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jarjis DanhoYorgan De Castro
160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

6 (100%)
KO/TKO
9 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Jarjis Danho70%
Yorgan De Castro 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Jarjis Danho a 70% favorite over Yorgan De Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Jarjis Danho holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1632 to 1583, a 49-point edge.

Jarjis Danho finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yorgan De Castro 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.