Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarno Errens vs William Gomis

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team ThrivingTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

William Gomis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jarno Errens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jarno ErrensNow 1595
If they win+21→ 1616
If they lose-11→ 1584
William GomisNow 1707
If they win+11→ 1718
If they lose-21→ 1686

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
44%
Strike accuracy
50%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.76
62%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0.86
0%
Takedown accuracy
38%
33%
Takedown defense
72%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Jarno ErrensWilliam Gomis
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
5 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
7 (47%)
Decision
7 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

William Gomis80%
Jarno Errens 20%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes William Gomis a 80% favorite over Jarno Errens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

William Gomis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1595, a 112-point edge.

Jarno Errens finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, William Gomis 53%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.