Combat Edge Intelligence

Jarno Errens vs Youssef Zalal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Youssef Zalal
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Youssef Zalal

“The Moroccan Devil”

18-6-1FeatherweightUFC

1735Good

Tale of the tape

15-6-1Record18-6-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach72"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team ThrivingTeamFactory X

What's at stake

Youssef Zalal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jarno Errens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jarno ErrensNow 1595
If they win+22→ 1617
If they lose-10→ 1585
Youssef ZalalNow 1735
If they win+7→ 1742
If they lose-17→ 1718

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1658 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
44%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.29
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.78
62%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
2.17
0%
Takedown accuracy
32%
33%
Takedown defense
59%
0.31
Submission avg.
1.41

Trajectory

Jarno ErrensYoussef Zalal
16001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
5 (33%)
Submission
10 (56%)
7 (47%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Youssef Zalal81%
Jarno Errens 19%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Youssef Zalal a 81% favorite over Jarno Errens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Youssef Zalal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1735 to 1595, a 140-point edge.

Jarno Errens finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Youssef Zalal 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.