Jason Gonzalez vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record39-19-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'2"Height5'8"
74,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jason Gonzalez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1627
If they win+9→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1705
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jason GonzalezJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller70%
Jason Gonzalez 30%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 70% favorite over Jason Gonzalez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1639, a 81-point edge.
Jason Gonzalez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jason Gonzalez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Jason Gonzalez carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.