Combat Edge Intelligence

Jason Tan vs Victor Valenzuela

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-3-0Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jason TanNow 1615
If they win+24→ 1639
If they lose-24→ 1591
Victor ValenzuelaNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-16→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.69
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
30%
Strike accuracy
100%
7.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.55
19%
Strike defense
0%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jason TanVictor Valenzuela
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
2 (40%)
Submission
2 (14%)
2 (40%)
Decision
5 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jason Tan and Victor Valenzuela within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1613), separated by just 2 points.

Victor Valenzuela enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jason Tan finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Victor Valenzuela 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.