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Combat Edge Intelligence

Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record6-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
-Reach-
254 lbsWeight266 lbs

What's at stake

Joel Faglier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Javad Mahjoub carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Javad MahjoubNow 1613
If they win+26→ 1639
If they lose-22→ 1591
Joel FaglierNow 1635
If they win+22→ 1657
If they lose-26→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1489 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Javad MahjoubJoel Faglier
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (20%)
Submission
3 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Joel Faglier58%
Javad Mahjoub 42%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Joel Faglier a 58% favorite over Javad Mahjoub in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Joel Faglier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1613, a 22-point edge.

Javad Mahjoub enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Joel Faglier enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Javad Mahjoub finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Joel Faglier 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.