Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier

DateOct 17, 2026

DivisionHeavyweight

StatusScheduled

VenueRogers Place

BroadcastPARAMOUNT+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, October 17, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 11:00 PM
Central Europe: Sun 12:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Javad Mahjoub5-0-0Javad Mahjoub vs Joel FaglierJoel FaglierThe Sniper |6-0-0

Javad Mahjoub5-0-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

5-0-0Record6-0-0

35Age25

6'1"Height6'2"

-Reach-

254 lbsWeight266 lbs

HeavyweightWeight ClassHeavyweight

Joel FaglierThe Sniper6-0-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Joel Faglier owns a 22-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Javad Mahjoub and Joel Faglier across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Javad MahjoubJoel Faglier

Recent form

Javad MahjoubW W W W W · +112 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Joel FaglierW W W W W · +111 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Javad Mahjoub1613+21 last move

Joel Faglier1635+24 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

37%Javad Mahjoub63%Joel Faglier

Model favoriteJoel Faglier

Elo baseline53% for Joel Faglier

Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Joel FaglierStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Joel Faglier leads the full model at 63%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1613 · 1635Joel Faglier leads by 22 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1482 · 1489Joel Faglier faced the stronger recent schedule (5 vs 6 sampled fights).

Elo record depth5 · 6 fightsJoel Faglier has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Javad MahjoubvsJoel Faglier

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Javad MahjoubKO/TKO leads 60% of wins

Joel Fagliersubmission leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Javad MahjoubJoel Faglier

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.77

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 49%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 3.92

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 51%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 1.40

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 53%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC heavyweight average : 0.44

3Wins by knockout2

1Wins by submission3

1Wins by decision1

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission0

0Losses by decision0

Javad Mahjoub vs Joel Faglier is a scheduled Heavyweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BUCKLEY VS MALOTT. Javad Mahjoub enters with a 5-0-0 record and Joel Faglier enters with a 6-0-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.