Jay Hieron vs Michael Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-7-0Record10-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamKO Squad MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1732
If they lose-12→ 1708
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1644 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jay HieronMichael Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira67%
Jay Hieron 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 67% favorite over Jay Hieron in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Hieron's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.
Jay Hieron enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jay Hieron finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Michael Oliveira 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.