Jay Jay Wilson vs Kevin Pease
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record9-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance Jiu-JitsuTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
If they win+24→ 1726
If they lose-24→ 1678
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jay Jay WilsonKevin Pease
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Pease57%
Jay Jay Wilson 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Pease a 57% favorite over Jay Jay Wilson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jay Jay Wilson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1704 vs 1702), separated by just 2 points.
Kevin Pease enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Jay Jay Wilson finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Pease 67%.
Jay Jay Wilson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.