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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jay Perrin vs Ryoto Nishiyama

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Jay Perrin
us

Jay Perrin

“The Joker”

13-8-0BantamweightCTFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
67"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamParaestra Hachioji

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jay PerrinNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Ryoto NishiyamaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.71
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
47%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.90
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
2.83
Takedown avg.
Not available
53%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
59%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Jay PerrinRyoto Nishiyama
14501500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
4 (31%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (54%)
Decision
1 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Jay Perrin52%
Ryoto Nishiyama 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jay Perrin a 52% favorite over Ryoto Nishiyama in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryoto Nishiyama's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1593), separated by just 2 points.

Jay Perrin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ryoto Nishiyama enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Jay Perrin finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Ryoto Nishiyama 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.