Jean Matsumoto vs Taylor Lapilus
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay ThaiTeamMMA Factory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1770
If they lose-16→ 1738
If they win+16→ 1766
If they lose-16→ 1734
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jean MatsumotoTaylor Lapilus
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Matsumoto52%
Taylor Lapilus 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 52% favorite over Taylor Lapilus in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1754 vs 1750), separated by just 4 points.
Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.
Jean Matsumoto and Taylor Lapilus share 1 common opponent: Farid Basharat.
Taylor Lapilus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.