Combat Edge Intelligence

Jean Matsumoto vs Taylor Lapilus

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record25-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach73"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Inside Muay Thai· 1670 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jean MatsumotoNow 1755
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739
Taylor LapilusNow 1755
If they win+16→ 1771
If they lose-16→ 1739

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.37
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
40%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.41
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.61
48%
Strike defense
63%
3
Takedown avg.
0.27
49%
Takedown accuracy
33%
56%
Takedown defense
77%
0.53
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Jean MatsumotoTaylor Lapilus
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (17%)
KO/TKO
5 (20%)
6 (33%)
Submission
6 (24%)
9 (50%)
Decision
14 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jean Matsumoto and Taylor Lapilus within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1755), separated by just 0 points.

Taylor Lapilus enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Jean Matsumoto finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Taylor Lapilus 44%.

Jean Matsumoto and Taylor Lapilus share 1 common opponent: Farid Basharat.

Taylor Lapilus carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2026
Farid Basharat
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024