Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'2"
72"Reach77"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFit NHB
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ty Miller52%
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ty Miller a 52% favorite over Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1683 vs 1682), separated by just 1 points.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.
Ty Miller carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.