Jean Silva vs Yair Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-3-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
69″Reach71"
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Kingdom ThaiTeamValle Flow Striking· 1672 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Yair Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jean Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1726
If they lose-11→ 1702
If they win+14→ 1765
If they lose-18→ 1733
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jean SilvaYair Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Silva60%
Yair Rodriguez 40%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Silva a 60% favorite over Yair Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yair Rodriguez's way (45%).
Yair Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1713, a 38-point edge.
Jean Silva finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.
Yair Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.