Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeisla Chaves vs Lauren Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
68"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gomes Fight TeamTeamGracie Barra Katy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeisla ChavesNow 1653
If they win+24→ 1677
If they lose-24→ 1629
Lauren MurphyNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.97
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
56%
Strike accuracy
39%
4.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
54%
Strike defense
55%
1.50
Takedown avg.
1.03
38%
Takedown accuracy
25%
63%
Takedown defense
70%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Jeisla ChavesLauren Murphy
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (50%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Jeisla Chaves67%
Lauren Murphy 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jeisla Chaves a 67% favorite over Lauren Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Jeisla Chaves enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jeisla Chaves finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.