Jeka Saragih vs Lucas Alexander
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record8-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
69"Reach73"
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
Batam Fighter ClubTeamFusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Jeka Saragih is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Lucas Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-19→ 1615
If they win+19→ 1595
If they lose-13→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeka SaragihLucas Alexander
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jeka Saragih60%
Lucas Alexander 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeka Saragih a 60% favorite over Lucas Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Jeka Saragih holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1576, a 58-point edge.
Jeka Saragih enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jeka Saragih finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Alexander 38%.
Lucas Alexander carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.