Combat Edge Intelligence

Jennifer Maia vs Jessica Eye

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-10-1Record15-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'6"
64"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Jennifer Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jessica Eye carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jennifer MaiaNow 1660
If they win+9→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1645
Jessica EyeNow 1586
If they win+19→ 1605
If they lose-13→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
39%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.19
56%
Strike defense
56%
0.42
Takedown avg.
0.58
28%
Takedown accuracy
41%
59%
Takedown defense
57%
0.08
Submission avg.
0.45

Trajectory

Jennifer MaiaJessica Eye
1600165020202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
5 (22%)
Submission
1 (7%)
14 (61%)
Decision
11 (73%)

Combat Edge model read

Jennifer Maia66%
Jessica Eye 34%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Jennifer Maia a 66% favorite over Jessica Eye in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Jennifer Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1586, a 74-point edge.

Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jessica Eye enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Jennifer Maia finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Eye 27%.

Jennifer Maia and Jessica Eye share 3 common opponents: Katlyn Cerminara, Valentina Shevchenko and Joanne Wood.

Jessica Eye carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinSubmission · 2020
Joanne Wood
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2021
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2020
Valentina Shevchenko
LossKO (head kick) · 2019
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Katlyn Cerminara
WinDEC · 2018