Combat Edge Intelligence

Jennifer Maia vs JJ Aldrich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-10-1Record15-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
64"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamFreedom Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jennifer MaiaNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
JJ AldrichNow 1667
If they win+16→ 1683
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.35
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
39%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.32
56%
Strike defense
61%
0.42
Takedown avg.
0.75
28%
Takedown accuracy
27%
59%
Takedown defense
68%
0.08
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jennifer MaiaJJ Aldrich
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
3 (20%)
5 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
14 (61%)
Decision
12 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

JJ Aldrich71%
Jennifer Maia 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes JJ Aldrich a 71% favorite over Jennifer Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1667), separated by just 7 points.

Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.

JJ Aldrich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jennifer Maia finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, JJ Aldrich 20%.

JJ Aldrich carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.