Jennifer Maia vs Katlyn Cerminara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
23-10-1Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'9"
64"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamTeam Renzo Gracie
What's at stake
Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jennifer Maia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1674
If they lose-10→ 1650
If they win+10→ 1723
If they lose-14→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jennifer MaiaKatlyn Cerminara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katlyn Cerminara72%
Jennifer Maia 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Katlyn Cerminara a 72% favorite over Jennifer Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1660, a 53-point edge.
Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jennifer Maia finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.
Jennifer Maia and Katlyn Cerminara share 2 common opponents: Manon Fiorot and Valentina Shevchenko.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.