Jennifer Maia vs Maryna Moroz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-10-1Record11-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Jennifer Maia is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Maryna Moroz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1671
If they lose-13→ 1647
If they win+18→ 1645
If they lose-14→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1646 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jennifer MaiaMaryna Moroz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Maryna Moroz56%
Jennifer Maia 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Maryna Moroz a 56% favorite over Jennifer Maia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jennifer Maia's way (45%).
Jennifer Maia holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1660 to 1627, a 33-point edge.
Jennifer Maia enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Maryna Moroz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jennifer Maia finishes 39% of wins inside the distance, Maryna Moroz 64%.
Jennifer Maia and Maryna Moroz share 1 common opponent: Joanne Wood.
Maryna Moroz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.