Jeremiah Wells vs Michael Oliveira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record10-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach78"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKO Squad MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
If they win+16→ 1736
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremiah WellsMichael Oliveira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michael Oliveira53%
Jeremiah Wells 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Michael Oliveira a 53% favorite over Jeremiah Wells in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Wells's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1720 vs 1720), separated by just 0 points.
Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Michael Oliveira enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jeremiah Wells finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Michael Oliveira 90%.
Michael Oliveira carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.