Jeremiah Wells vs Myktybek Orolbai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-4-1Record16-3-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
74"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Renzo Gracie Philly· 1735 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamUluu Kyrgyz
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1735
If they lose-16→ 1703
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1641 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremiah WellsMyktybek Orolbai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Myktybek Orolbai55%
Jeremiah Wells 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Myktybek Orolbai a 55% favorite over Jeremiah Wells in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremiah Wells's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1719 vs 1715), separated by just 4 points.
Jeremiah Wells enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jeremiah Wells finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Myktybek Orolbai 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.