Combat Edge Intelligence

Jeremy Horn vs Johnny Eblen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jeremy Horn
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Jeremy Horn

“Gumby”

92-22-5MiddleweightEC

1801Great

Tale of the tape

92-22-5Record17-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Jeremy Horn's Elite PerformanceTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jeremy HornNow 1801
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789
Johnny EblenNow 1796
If they win+16→ 1812
If they lose-16→ 1780

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1697 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.34
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
36%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.45
Takedown avg.
TBD
13%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
30%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jeremy HornJohnny Eblen
1800202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

26 (28%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
54 (59%)
Submission
2 (12%)
12 (13%)
Decision
9 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Johnny Eblen72%
Jeremy Horn 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Johnny Eblen a 72% favorite over Jeremy Horn in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Horn's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1801 vs 1796), separated by just 5 points.

Jeremy Horn finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eblen 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.