Jeremy Kimball vs Magomed Malsagov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jeremy Kimball52%
Magomed Malsagov 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jeremy Kimball a 52% favorite over Magomed Malsagov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1627 vs 1623), separated by just 4 points.
Magomed Malsagov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Jeremy Kimball finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Malsagov 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
19-11-0Record5-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
41,0"Reach-
213 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1639
If they lose-12→ 1615
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy KimballMagomed Malsagov