Jeremy Stephens vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach71″
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1571
If they lose-7→ 1547
If they win+7→ 1730
If they lose-17→ 1706
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green92%
Jeremy Stephens 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 92% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1554, a 169-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.