Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1571
If they lose-7→ 1547
If they win+9→ 1732
If they lose-23→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1692 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones92%
Jeremy Stephens 8%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 92% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1554, a 169-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Mason Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.