Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record18-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1651 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1571
If they lose-6→ 1547
If they win+8→ 1742
If they lose-24→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones86%
Jeremy Stephens 14%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 86% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1553, a 181-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Mason Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.