Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-23-0Record18-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
71"Reach74"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Alliance MMATeamPedro Bessa BJJ
What's at stake
Mason Jones is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jeremy Stephens carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1569
If they lose-6→ 1545
If they win+8→ 1753
If they lose-24→ 1721
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1684 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jeremy StephensMason Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mason Jones92%
Jeremy Stephens 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Mason Jones a 92% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Mason Jones holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1745 to 1551, a 194-point edge.
Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mason Jones enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Jeremy Stephens finishes 72% of wins inside the distance, Mason Jones 61%.
Mason Jones carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.