Combat Edge Intelligence

Jerome Rivera vs Joe Hiramoto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'10"Height5'7"
41,0"Reach-
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Destroya MMATeamGoukikai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jerome RiveraNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
Joe HiramotoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.21
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
34%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
40%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jerome RiveraJoe Hiramoto
15001550160016502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
7 (70%)
Submission
1 (25%)
3 (30%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Hiramoto63%
Jerome Rivera 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Hiramoto a 63% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1559), separated by just 1 points.

Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Joe Hiramoto enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jerome Rivera finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Joe Hiramoto 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.