Jerome Rivera vs Luke Shanks
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'5"
41,0"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight130 lbs
Destroya MMATeamBST MMA Academy Northampton
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jerome RiveraLuke Shanks
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Shanks52%
Jerome Rivera 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Shanks a 52% favorite over Jerome Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jerome Rivera's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1557), separated by just 1 points.
Jerome Rivera enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luke Shanks enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jerome Rivera finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Luke Shanks 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.