Combat Edge Intelligence

Jerrod Sanders vs Luis Gurule

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record11-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'5"
72,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jerrod SandersNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Luis GuruleNow 1641
If they win+16→ 1657
If they lose-16→ 1625

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.88
Sig. strikes / min
5.70
65%
Strike accuracy
44%
1.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.37
47%
Strike defense
58%
2.20
Takedown avg.
0.67
33%
Takedown accuracy
16%
50%
Takedown defense
59%
1.65
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Jerrod SandersLuis Gurule
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
6 (38%)
Submission
1 (9%)
8 (50%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Gurule62%
Jerrod Sanders 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Gurule a 62% favorite over Jerrod Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1641), separated by just 1 points.

Jerrod Sanders finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Luis Gurule 55%.

Jerrod Sanders carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.