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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jerrod Sanders vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-4-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
72,0"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top Team OKCTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jerrod SandersNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Nathan FletcherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.88
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
65%
Strike accuracy
60%
1.14
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
47%
Strike defense
58%
2.20
Takedown avg.
3.37
33%
Takedown accuracy
31%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
1.65
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Jerrod SandersNathan Fletcher
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
6 (38%)
Submission
7 (64%)
8 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher63%
Jerrod Sanders 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 63% favorite over Jerrod Sanders in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jerrod Sanders's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jerrod Sanders finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Jerrod Sanders carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.