Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesse Butler vs Jim Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jim Miller
us

Jim Miller

“A-10”

39-19-0LightweightUFC

1720Good

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record39-19-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
40,0"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSussex County MMA

What's at stake

Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jesse Butler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jesse ButlerNow 1607
If they win+21→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1596
Jim MillerNow 1720
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.02
Sig. strikes / min
2.92
35%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.44
40%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
1.50
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
49%
0
Submission avg.
1.70

Trajectory

Jesse ButlerJim Miller
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
7 (18%)
8 (67%)
Submission
22 (56%)
3 (25%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Jim Miller72%
Jesse Butler 28%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 72% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1607, a 113-point edge.

Jesse Butler enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jesse Butler finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.