Jesse Butler vs Jim Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record39-19-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'8"
40,0"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSussex County MMA
What's at stake
Jim Miller is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jesse Butler carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1617
If they lose-10→ 1585
If they win+8→ 1728
If they lose-16→ 1704
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1681 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesse ButlerJim Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jim Miller76%
Jesse Butler 24%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Jim Miller a 76% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Jim Miller holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1595, a 125-point edge.
Jesse Butler enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jesse Butler finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Jim Miller 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.