Jesse Murray vs Kevin Christian
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'7"
78"Reach80"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
Strongstyle MMATeamCosme Junior Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
If they win+23→ 1582
If they lose-25→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jesse MurrayKevin Christian
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Christian51%
Jesse Murray 49%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Christian a 51% favorite over Jesse Murray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1550 vs 1559), separated by just 9 points.
Kevin Christian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesse Murray finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Christian 100%.
Kevin Christian carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.