Jessica Aguilar vs Marina Rodriguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record17-6-2
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'7"
63,0"Reach65"
107 lbsWeight115 lbs
Liborio ExperienceTeamThai Brasil· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Marina Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jessica Aguilar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1625
If they lose-11→ 1601
If they win+11→ 1663
If they lose-13→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1664 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jessica AguilarMarina Rodriguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marina Rodriguez61%
Jessica Aguilar 39%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Marina Rodriguez a 61% favorite over Jessica Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Marina Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1612, a 40-point edge.
Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marina Rodriguez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jessica Aguilar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Marina Rodriguez 47%.
Marina Rodriguez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.