Marina Rodriguez vs Jessica Aguilar

Mar 30, 2019 · ESPN+

DateMar 30, 2019

DivisionWomen's Strawweight

StatusScheduled

VenueWells Fargo Center

BroadcastESPN+

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, March 30, 2019 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET): Sat 6:00 PM
US West (PT): Sat 3:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 10:00 PM
Central Europe: Sat 11:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Sun 9:00 AM
Your time

Marina Rodriguez17-6-2Marina Rodriguez vs Jessica AguilarJessica AguilarJag |20-10-0

Marina Rodriguez17-6-2

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

17-6-2Record20-10-0

39Age44

5'7"Height5'3"

65"Reach63,0"

115 lbsWeight107 lbs

Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight

Jessica AguilarJag20-10-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Marina Rodriguez owns a 40-point Elo edge (good). Marina Rodriguez shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Marina Rodriguez and Jessica Aguilar across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Marina RodriguezJessica Aguilar

Recent form

Marina RodriguezL L L L W · -59 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Jessica AguilarL L L L W · -38 Elo last 5

LLLLW

Elo edge

Marina Rodriguez1652-19 last move

Jessica Aguilar1612-14 last move

Why they are ranked here

Marina Rodriguez#28 of 108 active Women Strawweight fighters · 1652 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Mackenzie Dern (rated 1705 at the time): +15.
Costliest loss: Lost to Anna-Louise Burns (rated 1500 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -59 Elo in total.
Next places: 2 points behind #27 Carli Judice, 7 ahead of #29 Elisandra Ferreira.

Jessica AguilarNot on the active ladder · 1612 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Kalindra Faria (rated 1650 at the time): +14.
Costliest loss: Lost to Cl├íudia Gadelha (rated 1500 at the time): -24.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -38 Elo in total.
Inactivity: Placed on 1522, not 1612: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Marina RodriguezNow 1652 · #28 Women Strawweight

Wins by decision+11→ 1663

Loses by decision-13→ 1639

Jessica AguilarNow 1612

Wins by decision+13→ 1625

Loses by decision-11→ 1601

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Marina RodriguezvsJessica Aguilar

Takedown average

0.28vs0.94

Sig. strikes absorbed per min

3.04vs7.19

Takedown accuracy

50%vs25%

Takedown defense

63%vs50%

Finishing profile

Marina Rodriguezdecision leads 53% of wins

Jessica Aguilardecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Carla EsparzaMarina Rodriguez: loss · Decision (Split) · Jul 25, 2020Jessica Aguilar: win · Decision · Jun 25, 2011

Tale of the tape

Marina RodriguezJessica Aguilar

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.64Sig. strikes landed per min4.93

UFC strawweight average : 4.15

47Sig. strike accuracy51

UFC strawweight average : 45%

3.04Sig. strikes absorbed per min7.19

UFC strawweight average : 4.11

56Sig. strike defense54

UFC strawweight average : 54%

0.28Takedown average0.94

UFC strawweight average : 1.37

50Takedown accuracy25

UFC strawweight average : 32%

63Takedown defense50

UFC strawweight average : 59%

0.21Submission average0.24

UFC strawweight average : 0.43

7Wins by knockout2

1Wins by submission8

9Wins by decision10

2Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

4Losses by decision8

Marina Rodriguez vs Jessica Aguilar is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC FIGHT NIGHT : BARBOZA VS GAETHJE. Marina Rodriguez enters with a 17-6-2 record and Jessica Aguilar enters with a 20-10-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.