Jessica Aguilar vs Weili Zhang
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-0Record26-4-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'4"
63,0"Reach63"
107 lbsWeight115 lbs
Liborio ExperienceTeamFight Ready
What's at stake
Weili Zhang is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Jessica Aguilar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1630
If they lose-6→ 1606
If they win+6→ 1805
If they lose-18→ 1781
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica AguilarWeili Zhang
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Weili Zhang89%
Jessica Aguilar 11%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Weili Zhang a 89% favorite over Jessica Aguilar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Weili Zhang holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1799 to 1612, a 187-point edge.
Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Jessica Aguilar finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Weili Zhang 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.