Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessica Penne vs Jéssica Andrade

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record26-15-0
StrawweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'2"
67"Reach62"
115 lbsWeight125 lbs
Alliance MMATeamParana Vale Tudo

What's at stake

Jéssica Andrade is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Jessica Penne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessica PenneNow 1548
If they win+21→ 1569
If they lose-11→ 1537
Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+8→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.63
Sig. strikes / min
6.39
33%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.49
45%
Strike defense
54%
1.29
Takedown avg.
2.21
19%
Takedown accuracy
55%
36%
Takedown defense
72%
0.49
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Jessica PenneJéssica Andrade
15501600165017001750202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
10 (38%)
8 (57%)
Submission
8 (31%)
4 (29%)
Decision
8 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Jéssica Andrade72%
Jessica Penne 28%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 72% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Jéssica Andrade holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1548, a 113-point edge.

Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Jessica Penne finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jéssica Andrade 69%.

Jessica Penne and Jéssica Andrade share 1 common opponent: Lupita Godinez.

Jessica Penne carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (split) · 2021
Lupita Godinez
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025