Jessica Penne vs Joanna Jędrzejczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record16-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach65"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMA· 1633 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Joanna Jędrzejczyk is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Jessica Penne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1570
If they lose-10→ 1538
If they win+10→ 1696
If they lose-22→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica PenneJoanna Jędrzejczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joanna Jędrzejczyk79%
Jessica Penne 21%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Joanna Jędrzejczyk a 79% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Joanna Jędrzejczyk holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1686 to 1548, a 138-point edge.
Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joanna Jędrzejczyk enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jessica Penne finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Joanna Jędrzejczyk 31%.
Jessica Penne and Joanna Jędrzejczyk share 2 common opponents: Karolina Kowalkiewicz and Jéssica Andrade.
Jessica Penne carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.