Jessica Penne vs Lupita Godinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'2"
67"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Alliance MMATeamLobo Gym MMA
What's at stake
Lupita Godinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jessica Penne carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1569
If they lose-11→ 1537
If they win+11→ 1679
If they lose-21→ 1647
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica PenneLupita Godinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lupita Godinez87%
Jessica Penne 13%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 87% favorite over Jessica Penne in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Lupita Godinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1548, a 120-point edge.
Jessica Penne enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Jessica Penne finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.
Jessica Penne and Lupita Godinez share 4 common opponents: Elise Reed, Tabatha Ricci, Emily Ducote and Jéssica Andrade.
Jessica Penne carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.