Combat Edge Intelligence

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-5-0Record10-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
TBDTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Valerie Letourneau is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Jessica Rakoczy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jessica RakoczyNow 1429
If they win+34→ 1463
If they lose-14→ 1415
Valerie LetourneauNow 1582
If they win+9→ 1591
If they lose-23→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1517 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.50
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
45%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.40
65%
Strike defense
59%
0.75
Takedown avg.
0.77
20%
Takedown accuracy
45%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Jessica RakoczyValerie Letourneau
1450150015501600201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (10%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Valerie Letourneau78%
Jessica Rakoczy 22%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Valerie Letourneau a 78% favorite over Jessica Rakoczy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Valerie Letourneau holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1582 to 1429, a 153-point edge.

Jessica Rakoczy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Valerie Letourneau 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.