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UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau

Apr 25, 2015 · ESPN+
DateApr 25, 2015
StatusScheduled
VenueBell Centre
BroadcastESPN+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Saturday, April 25, 2015 — watch on ESPN+.

US East (ET)
Sat 1:30 PM
US West (PT)
Sat 10:30 AM
United Kingdom
Sat 6:30 PM
Central Europe
Sat 7:30 PM
Australia (Sydney)
Sun 3:30 AM
Jessica RakoczyRagin' |1-5-0Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie LetourneauValerie LetourneauTrouble |10-7-0
caJessica RakoczyRagin'1-5-0Jessica Rakoczyca

Fight Overview

RoundTBD
TimeTBD
1-5-0Record10-7-0
49Age43
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
115 lbsWeight116 lbs
Women's StrawweightWeight ClassWomen's Strawweight
caValerie LetourneauTrouble10-7-0caValerie Letourneau
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Valerie Letourneau owns a 152-point Elo edge (solid). Valerie Letourneau shows more surface-level statistical edges across the tracked UFC categories. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Jessica Rakoczy and Valerie Letourneau across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Jessica RakoczyValerie Letourneau
1450150015501600201320142015201620172018

Recent form

Jessica RakoczyL L W L L · -47 Elo last 5
LLWLL
Valerie LetourneauL W W L L · -22 Elo last 5
LWWLL

Elo edge

Jessica Rakoczy1429-15 last move
Valerie Letourneau1581-21 last move

Why they are ranked here

Jessica RakoczyNot on the active ladder · 1429 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Kristen Gatz (rated 1500 at the time): +34.
Costliest loss
Lost to Julianna Peña (rated 1517 at the time): -26.
Last 5 fights
1 win, 4 losses, -47 Elo in total.
Inactivity
Placed on 1339, not 1429: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.
Valerie LetourneauNot on the active ladder · 1581 Elo
Biggest gain
Beat Jordan Moore (rated 1500 at the time): +26.
Costliest loss
Lost to Ilima-Lei Macfarlane (rated 1563 at the time): -21.
Last 5 fights
2 wins, 3 losses, -22 Elo in total.
Inactivity
Placed on 1491, not 1581: 90 points are held back after more than 18 months without a fight, until the next one.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Jessica RakoczyNow 1429
Wins by decision+34→ 1463
Loses by decision-14→ 1415
Valerie LetourneauNow 1581
Wins by decision+9→ 1590
Loses by decision-23→ 1558
What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

The simulator is part of Combat Edge Premium, with zero ads, 30 Ask Stats questions a month and CSV exports.

Go Premium to run it

Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Jessica RakoczyvsValerie Letourneau
Takedown defense
0%vs67%
Takedown accuracy
20%vs45%
Sig. strikes landed per min
2.50vs4.51
Submission average
0.75vs0.31

Finishing profile

Jessica RakoczyKO/TKO leads 100% of wins
Valerie Letourneaudecision leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

Roxanne ModafferiJessica Rakoczy: win · KO/TKO · Jun 12, 2013Valerie Letourneau: loss · Rear Naked Choke · May 29, 2013

Tale of the tape

Jessica RakoczyValerie Letourneau

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.50Sig. strikes landed per min4.51
UFC strawweight average : 4.15
45Sig. strike accuracy38
UFC strawweight average : 45%
3.55Sig. strikes absorbed per min5.40
UFC strawweight average : 4.11
65Sig. strike defense59
UFC strawweight average : 54%
0.75Takedown average0.77
UFC strawweight average : 1.37
20Takedown accuracy45
UFC strawweight average : 32%
0Takedown defense67
UFC strawweight average : 59%
0.75Submission average0.31
UFC strawweight average : 0.43
1Wins by knockout4
0Wins by submission1
0Wins by decision5
2Losses by knockout2
1Losses by submission1
2Losses by decision4

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau is a scheduled Women's Strawweight fight on UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI. Jessica Rakoczy enters with a 1-5-0 record and Valerie Letourneau enters with a 10-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau quick answers

When is Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau?

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau is listed for UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI on Apr 25, 2015 at 1:30 PM CDT.

What event is Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau on?

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau is listed on UFC 186 : JOHNSON VS HORIGUCHI.

What are the records for Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau?

Jessica Rakoczy enters with a 1-5-0 record and Valerie Letourneau enters with a 10-7-0 record.

What division is Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau?

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau is listed as a Women's Strawweight fight.

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