Jessica-Rose Clark vs Sarah Alpar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record9-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
64"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamAmerican Elite MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+17→ 1560
If they lose-15→ 1528
If they win+15→ 1570
If they lose-17→ 1538
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica-Rose ClarkSarah Alpar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sarah Alpar67%
Jessica-Rose Clark 33%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Sarah Alpar a 67% favorite over Jessica-Rose Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1543 vs 1555), separated by just 12 points.
Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sarah Alpar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jessica-Rose Clark finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Alpar 44%.
Jessica-Rose Clark and Sarah Alpar share 2 common opponents: Joselyne Edwards and Carina Damm.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.