Jessica-Rose Clark vs Tainara Lisboa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'7"
64"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamDamas 013
What's at stake
Tainara Lisboa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jessica-Rose Clark carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1561
If they lose-14→ 1529
If they win+14→ 1602
If they lose-18→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jessica-Rose ClarkTainara Lisboa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tainara Lisboa70%
Jessica-Rose Clark 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Tainara Lisboa a 70% favorite over Jessica-Rose Clark in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Tainara Lisboa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1543, a 45-point edge.
Jessica-Rose Clark enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jessica-Rose Clark finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.
Tainara Lisboa carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.