Jesus Hernandez vs Roman Sandoval
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Jesus Hernandez66%
Roman Sandoval 34%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Hernandez a 66% favorite over Roman Sandoval in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jesus Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1580 to 1498, a 82-point edge.
Jesus Hernandez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jesus Hernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
3-0-0Record1-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'7"
-Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Jesus Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Roman Sandoval carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1598
If they lose-30→ 1550
If they win+30→ 1528
If they lose-18→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jesus HernandezRoman Sandoval