
Jesus Pinedo vs Levy Saúl Marroquín
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
What's at stake
Jesus Pinedo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Levy Saúl Marroquín carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Pinedo a 63% favorite over Levy Saúl Marroquín in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Jesus Pinedo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1673, a 47-point edge.
Jesus Pinedo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Levy Saúl Marroquín enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jesus Pinedo finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Levy Saúl Marroquín 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.