Combat Edge Intelligence

Jesus Pinedo vs Levy Saúl Marroquín

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-8-1Record16-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
74"Reach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

Jesus Pinedo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Levy Saúl Marroquín carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Jesus PinedoNow 1732
If they win+10→ 1742
If they lose-14→ 1718
Levy Saúl MarroquínNow 1673
If they win+19→ 1692
If they lose-13→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
38%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
2.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
100%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jesus PinedoLevy Saúl Marroquín
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (65%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
4 (15%)
Submission
6 (38%)
5 (19%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Jesus Pinedo61%
Levy Saúl Marroquín 39%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Jesus Pinedo a 61% favorite over Levy Saúl Marroquín in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Jesus Pinedo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1732 to 1673, a 59-point edge.

Levy Saúl Marroquín enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Jesus Pinedo finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Levy Saúl Marroquín 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.