Jhonata Diniz vs José Montanha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record6-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach76"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Jhonata Diniz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — José Montanha carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1666
If they lose-18→ 1634
If they win+27→ 1639
If they lose-21→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1611 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jhonata DinizJosé Montanha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhonata Diniz70%
José Montanha 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhonata Diniz a 70% favorite over José Montanha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jhonata Diniz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1652 to 1612, a 40-point edge.
Jhonata Diniz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
José Montanha enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, José Montanha 100%.
Jhonata Diniz carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.