Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record13-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach79"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Jhonata Diniz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1660
If they win+12→ 1772
If they lose-20→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1596 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jhonata DinizMario Pinto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto66%
Jhonata Diniz 34%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 66% favorite over Jhonata Diniz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1672, a 88-point edge.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 69%.
Jhonata Diniz and Mario Pinto share 1 common opponent: Austen Lane.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.