Jhonata Diniz vs Mario Pinto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-2-0Record12-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
79"Reach79"
255 lbsWeight265 lbs
Santa Fe TeamTeamUrban Warriors
What's at stake
Mario Pinto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jhonata Diniz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1688
If they lose-13→ 1656
If they win+13→ 1751
If they lose-19→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jhonata DinizMario Pinto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mario Pinto79%
Jhonata Diniz 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Mario Pinto a 79% favorite over Jhonata Diniz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Mario Pinto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1669, a 69-point edge.
Mario Pinto enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Jhonata Diniz finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Mario Pinto 67%.
Jhonata Diniz and Mario Pinto share 1 common opponent: Austen Lane.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.